I've said it before and I'll say it again. America is flooded with surplus commercial real estate. Rental demand is climbing and the available rental unit supply is not up to the job. Thus rental prices stay high (relative to the economy) while hundreds of millions of square feet of real estate sits vacant, not generating income and in some cases, so empty of people as to be at increasing risk of vandalism and theft. And real estate companies are in serious financial trouble. We also need to face that as people get poorer, they'll become more prone to exactly the kind of destructive behavior that any owner of an empty building should fear.
The obvious consequence will be more people living illegally in commercial spaces. Done illegally, landlords will look the other way because they're hungry for the revenue, but the conversions, such as will be done, will be rushed and unsafe and will cause problems ranging from fires to floods caused by amateur plumbing.
This being the case, smart municipalities should be exploring passing temporary variances to allow, and perhaps even assist the use of some commercial spaces as residential. Maybe even allow or even encourage the conversion of zoning with an option for those conversions to be permanent. Or, even better, allow more spaces to be zoned more flexibly, allowing mixed use to be not just within complexes but in side by side units.
Commercial space, in normal times, rents for more per square foot than residential. Many landlords also consider it far less of a headache.
But these are not normal times.
It's time that we started doing a better job of thinking through how or society can best adapt to that.
Have you ever checked on the correlation between mixed-use zoning being permitted and high numbers of so-called "cultural creatives" in an area? It seems as though cities with high numbers of artists, freelancers, and one-person software shops might have come to the conclusion already that such people gravitate to areas with good "geek habitat." (Save the wetlands; buy Mountain Dew.)
Posted by: Interrobang | December 11, 2008 at 10:57 AM